nuclear
8 briefs
The Ceasefire That Depends on the Blockade
Iran and the US are negotiating peace while simultaneously threatening the conditions that make peace impossible.
The Deal That Depends on Beijing Keeping Its Word
Trump says China agreed not to arm Iran. That claim is doing enormous diplomatic work for a ceasefire that does not yet exist.
The Blockade That Is Already Being Traded Away
Trump imposed a naval blockade on Iranian ports after Islamabad talks failed. Iran offered a 5-year uranium pause. Markets say both sides want a deal before May.
The Islamabad Impasse
Twenty-one hours of talks, no deal, and a blockade announced before dawn.
No Deal in Islamabad
21 hours of direct talks between the US and Iran collapsed over nuclear weapons and the Strait of Hormuz. The ceasefire is now strain-tested with no replacement framework.
France Spends $53 Billion to Replace the American Guarantee
Paris just added $53 billion to its defense budget and expanded its nuclear arsenal. This is not NATO burden-sharing. This is Europe preparing for the scenario where America is not coming.
The Islamabad Gamble
Vance flew to Pakistan to negotiate a peace with Iran that neither side can fully afford to want.
Iran's 10-Point Plan and the Coerced Ceasefire
A hostage exchange disguised as diplomacy. both sides are trading things they can't afford to lose.