14th Amendment

4 briefs

power 2026-04-15

SCOTUS Is About to Rule on Birthright Citizenship. The Market Says 94% Chance They Strike It Down.

The Supreme Court heard final arguments on Trump's executive order redefining citizenship. The constitutional question is live. The outcome almost certainly isn't.

power 2026-04-13

Who Is an American

SCOTUS heard two hours of argument on birthright citizenship. Conservative justices were skeptical of Trump. A ruling isn't the end of the story.

decision 2026-04-10

SCOTUS Is About to Strike Down the Birthright Citizenship Order. That Is Not the Hard Part.

The justices are almost certain to rule against Trump. The question they are really debating is how far the 14th Amendment's citizenship clause reaches, and the answer will outlast this case.

power 2026-04-09

SCOTUS Will Almost Certainly Strike Down the Birthright Order. The Reasoning May Be Worse Than the Order.

Polymarket gives Trump's birthright citizenship executive order a 4.9% chance of surviving. But Justice Sotomayor raised the question nobody wants answered: if the logic works for future babies, does it work for people already born?