interest-rates

3 briefs

power 2026-04-15

Trump Threatens to Fire Powell. The Market Says He Won't Get What He Wants Either Way.

The Federal Reserve chair's term ends May 15, but his replacement can't get confirmed, a criminal investigation is blocking the vote, and Powell says he's staying. No one is getting a rate cut.

conflict 2026-04-10

The Fed Is Trapped Between a War and the Economy It Has to Protect

March CPI hit 3.3% on an Iran-war energy shock that the Fed did not cause and cannot stop. Rate cuts are now off the table. Rate hikes would crush a fragile recovery. There is no good option.

decision 2026-04-09

The Ceasefire Did What the Fed Couldn't: Repriced the Entire Year

Oil crashed 18% overnight and Fed rate-cut odds doubled. But the Strait is still closed, March CPI is still coming, and nobody knows if this ceasefire holds.