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export-controls

26 briefs

power 2026-05-13

The US Is Trying to Cut Off ASML from China While Its President Is in Beijing Asking China for Favors

The MATCH Act gives the Netherlands a 150-day deadline to stop ASML sales to China -- and The Hague is openly refusing, catching Washington in a contradiction it cannot resolve.

power 2026-05-12

The Chip Lab on National Television

Beijing showed Huawei's secret semiconductor research lab on prime-time TV three days before Trump lands. This was a message, not a documentary.

power 2026-05-11

China's AI Chips Achieved Day Zero Parity with Nvidia. Jensen Huang Says His China Share Is Now Zero.

When DeepSeek V4 launched, Huawei, Cambricon and Moore Threads ran it the same day. That ended Nvidia's real advantage in China: timing.

power 2026-05-09

Thailand's National AI Strategy Was a Chip Laundering Operation

US prosecutors believe OBON Corp, the centerpiece of Thailand's AI national strategy, moved $2.5 billion in Nvidia-equipped servers to China for Alibaba. The export controls were not beaten by spies; they were beaten by a trade show partner.

power 2026-05-06

Nvidia Has Zero Percent of China's AI Market. Its CEO Says That Was Always the Point.

Jensen Huang admits export controls handed China's AI chip market to Huawei. He is arguing this proves the policy should be reversed. He has a conflict of interest the size of a data center.

ethics 2026-05-06

Supermicro's Co-Founder Was Indicted for Smuggling $2.5 Billion in AI Chips to China. The Stock Jumped 18%.

The market decided the indictment was contained and the guidance was real. One of those bets is probably right.

power 2026-05-05

Nvidia Lost China. China Didn't Notice.

Jensen Huang says US export controls cut Nvidia's China AI market share to zero. China replaced Nvidia with Huawei. The policy worked exactly as its critics warned.

power 2026-05-04

DeepSeek Just Built a Frontier AI on Chinese Chips. That Was the Whole Point of the Export Ban.

V4 ran on Huawei Ascend hardware. Jensen Huang called this outcome 'horrible for our nation.' He is right, and US policy made it happen.

power 2026-04-30

DeepSeek Bets on Huawei and China's Chip Independence Finally Gets a Proof of Concept

After years of Huawei's Ascend chips failing to attract top-tier customers, DeepSeek V4 just gave Beijing's domestic silicon strategy its first credible validation.

conflict 2026-04-27

The Distillation War: China Is Copying US AI Models at Scale and Washington Doesn't Know What to Do About It

The White House accused China of industrial-scale AI theft through model distillation. The State Department sent a global cable. Congress is advancing the MATCH Act to choke off chip equipment. None of it addresses the core problem, which is that distillation is not crackable by export controls.

power 2026-04-26

DeepSeek Builds the World's Best Open-Source AI on Chinese Chips. The US Just Made It Official.

Washington cleared Nvidia H200 exports to China four months ago. China blocked its own companies from buying them. DeepSeek then launched V4 on Huawei hardware and undercut every American model on price. The US chip strategy is now accelerating the thing it was designed to prevent.

power 2026-04-26

Congress Wants to Force US Allies to Choose: Sell Chip Equipment to China, or Sell to America

The MATCH Act passed committee and gives the Netherlands and Japan 150 days to align their export restrictions with US rules or face their own restrictions. The allies have not agreed. The global semiconductor supply chain has not been consulted.

power 2026-04-25

The US Just Sent Every Embassy in the World a Warning About DeepSeek. The Timing Is the Message.

A State Department cable accusing Chinese AI labs of industrial-scale IP theft landed the same week DeepSeek launched V4. Coincidence is not the right frame.

power 2026-04-25

Congress Moves to Ban China From the Factory Floor, Not Just the Chip Aisle

The MATCH Act targets the tools that make chips, not just the chips themselves. That is either a precision strike or a supply chain catastrophe, depending on who you ask.

conflict 2026-04-24

China Just Told Europe: Arm Taiwan and Pay the Price

Beijing sanctioned seven European defense firms for selling weapons to Taiwan. It is the first time China has directly targeted European companies for Taiwan-related arms sales. The message is the action.

power 2026-04-23

The White House Says China Is Copying America's AI. The Timing Is the Story.

A memo accusing China of industrial-scale AI theft lands three weeks before Trump visits Beijing. That's not a coincidence.

power 2026-04-22

The MATCH Act Would Let the US Cut Off Allies Who Don't Follow Its Chip Rules

Congress wants to force allies to comply with US semiconductor export controls or face secondary sanctions on any product using American technology. China says it has already adapted.

power 2026-04-21

China Blocked Nvidia's H200 Chips Even After Trump Gave the Green Light

The White House approved the deal. Beijing's customs officials stopped it anyway. The chip war now has two fronts: one in Washington, one inside the US bureaucracy.

power 2026-04-19

DeepSeek Is Abandoning Nvidia. Jensen Huang Says That's Catastrophic. He's Right for the Wrong Reasons.

The real threat isn't that China gets better chips. It's that America loses the software lock-in that made export controls worth having.

conflict 2026-04-18

Approved, Blocked, Halted

Trump approved Nvidia H200 chip sales to China. Chinese customs blocked the shipments anyway. Nvidia's suppliers have now stopped production. Nobody is in control of this trade.

power 2026-04-17

Congress Is Trying to Lock China Out of the Chip Industry. Nvidia Says That's the Wrong Move.

The MATCH Act would block China from buying the machines that make advanced chips. Jensen Huang says restricting China just makes it build faster.

power 2026-04-16

Jensen Huang Said There Was No Evidence. There Were Six Indictments.

Federal prosecutors have charged six men in three weeks with smuggling billions in Nvidia chips to China. The CEO who denied it is now selling chips to the US government instead.

power 2026-04-12

The Export Control Bottleneck

Staffing losses and tighter oversight inside the Commerce Department's Bureau of Industry and Security have turned AI chip export licenses into months-long waits. The US is blocking its own allies.

power 2026-04-11

The Bureaucracy That's Losing the Chip War

Trump's plan to sell AI chips to allies is collapsing inside the Commerce Department, where staff have fled and license approvals now take months.

power 2026-04-09

Saudi Arabia Killed The Line and Built a Data Center Instead

MBS suspended his $500 billion linear city after 1.4% completion, pivoted $23 billion to AI infrastructure, and made Elon Musk's Grok the kingdom's national AI layer. The geopolitical bet underneath this is enormous.

power 2026-04-09

The Chip War Is Now a Two-Front Battle, and the US Is Losing the Material That Wins It

The MATCH Act would cut China off from Dutch chipmaking tools. China's InP export controls just cut the world off from the material that makes AI data centers run. Washington is winning the equipment war while Beijing controls the supply chain beneath it.