escalation

3 briefs

conflict 2026-05-06

One Year After Operation Sindoor, Both India and Pakistan Are Preparing for the Next War

The ceasefire is holding. The lessons both sides drew from the last conflict are not about how to prevent the next one. They are about how to win it.

conflict 2026-04-25

Britain Shot Down a Russian Drone Over Ukraine. Or It Didn't.

Romania says the RAF engaged and destroyed a Russian drone over Ukrainian territory. The UK MoD says the jets returned to base without firing. The gap between those two accounts is where the actual escalation lives.

conflict 2026-04-22

Russia Sent Nuclear Bombers Over the Baltic Five Times in Eight Days. The West Was Watching Iran.

Six NATO nations scrambled jets to intercept Russian Tu-22M3 bombers carrying live missiles on April 20. It was the fifth intercept in eight days. Russia is probing NATO's eastern flank while the alliance's attention is in the Middle East.