independence

3 briefs

power 2026-05-02

The SNP Is Almost Certainly Going to Win Scotland. The Question Is What Scotland Wins.

Polymarket puts SNP at 99.45% to win the most Holyrood seats. But the SNP enters the election defending a decade of governance failures, a £5 billion budget gap, and an independence movement that has stalled. Winning the election and winning the argument are different things.

power 2026-04-29

Kevin Warsh Clears the Senate. The Real Question Is What He Does First.

With confirmation odds at 98.9%, the debate about who chairs the Fed is over. The debate about whether the Fed can still function independently has just started.

power 2026-04-24

The Fed Chair Who Won't Say What He Thinks

Kevin Warsh's confirmation hearing confirmed one thing: he has no intention of telling Congress, or the markets, what he will actually do.